{ "name": "The Aeviterna adoption tracker", "version": "0.3", "released": "2026-07", "codebook": { "scale": { "0": "absent, or present and failed", "1": "partial or informal", "2": "present and load-bearing" }, "rules": [ "a cell is coded only on documentable evidence in either direction", "not-coded is a recorded state distinct from zero", "decline and suspension are first-class states", "no averaging across cases into a headline number", "every changed code is documented in an errata note" ], "dimensions": { "1": "Adaptive stability", "2": "Cognitive sovereignty", "3": "Cognitive ecology", "4": "The justice of light", "5": "The knowledge commons", "6": "Decaying standing", "7": "The dignity floor", "8": "Reversibility and exit", "9": "Anti-capture", "10": "Vital-signs review", "11": "Automated decisions", "12": "The more-than-human", "13": "The transition engine", "14": "The consent layer", "15": "Calibrated decay", "16": "The container rule", "17": "The visible substrate", "18": "The fork protocol", "19": "Friction and the cascade", "20": "The thin spine" } }, "caveats": "Tenant-grade evidence. Thirteen cases, two of them fully dissolved; coded by one team with adversarial review invited; no causal claims. Falsifier F-01's measurement instrument in embryo: it defines variables, anchors, and recording discipline; it is not yet the test.", "cases": [ { "id": "mondragon", "name": "Mondragon Corporation", "founded": 1956, "status": "active", "statusClass": "st-active", "traj": "Federation of worker co-ops; survived its largest member's 2013 bankruptcy with workers relocated through intercooperation funds; two co-ops exited by vote in 2022; record sales in 2025.", "sources": [ "https://www.tulankide.com/en/mondragon-achieved-a-turnover-of-eur11-322-billion-and-created-1-346-new-jobs-in-2025", "https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/apce.12329" ], "cells": [ { "d": 1, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Absorbed the Fagor bankruptcy (2013) and two member exits (2022); 71,415 employees and record sales in 2025." }, { "d": 8, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Refundable member stake; Orona and ULMA exited by member vote and the federation held: vested exit is real in both directions." }, { "d": 7, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Roughly 1,900 Fagor worker-members relocated or early-retired through LagunAro and intercooperation rather than dismissed." }, { "d": 9, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Wage-ratio caps and one-member-one-vote are structural; no documented rotation or independent-audit regime at federation level." }, { "d": 13, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Corporate funds seeded three new companies in 2025 with major R&D spend; the 2022 exits cut the other way." }, { "d": 20, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "The center could neither save Fagor by fiat nor block the exits: central power demonstrably bounded, thinly specified." } ] }, { "id": "fagor", "name": "Fagor Electrodomésticos", "founded": 1956, "status": "dissolved", "statusClass": "st-dead", "traj": "Mondragon's flagship consumer co-op: five decades, over-expansion in the 2000s, bankruptcy in November 2013 when the federation declined a further rescue; its people composted into sister co-ops, its brand sold. Deliberately double-listed: this dead member is also evidence inside Mondragon's card, because the death and the absorption are one event read from two altitudes.", "sources": [ "https://iuscooperativum.org/article/a-brief-chronicle-of-and-some-notes-on-the-bankruptcy-proceeding-of-fagor-electrodomesticos-s-coop/", "https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/apce.12329", "https://www.thelocal.es/20131114/major-manufacturer-fagor-files-for-bankruptcy" ], "cells": [ { "d": 1, "s": 0, "c": "high", "e": "Over-leveraged international expansion met the post-2008 appliance collapse; bankruptcy filed November 2013 with debts near a billion euros and 5,700 jobs worldwide. The dissolution is the datum." }, { "d": 8, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "At death the federation's machinery worked: roughly 700 Basque worker-members early-retired and 1,000 relocated to sister co-ops through the intercooperation funds, with about 350 hired by the buyer." }, { "d": 7, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "No member abandoned at the end: LagunAro welfare and relocation carried the transition, the cushioned death the federation was built to provide." }, { "d": 20, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "The group declined a further bailout: the center could let a member die, which is bounded central power cutting both ways." } ] }, { "id": "champlain", "name": "Champlain Housing Trust", "founded": 1984, "status": "active", "statusClass": "st-active", "traj": "Largest US community land trust; 3,015 apartments and 706 shared-equity homes across three counties (2026); grew through the 2008 foreclosure crisis.", "sources": [ "https://legislature.vermont.gov/Documents/2026/Workgroups/Senate%20Economic%20Development/Housing/W~Michael%20Monte~Champlain%20Housing%20Trust~1-16-2026.pdf", "https://www.getahome.org/" ], "cells": [ { "d": 1, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Forty-two years of continuous operation, growing through the 2008 crisis to the largest CLT in the country." }, { "d": 7, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Permanent affordability is the product: land held in trust, homes resale-restricted, 2008 World Habitat Award." }, { "d": 8, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "The shared-equity resale formula is a contractual vested exit: the leaver keeps equity plus a fixed appreciation share." }, { "d": 9, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Tripartite board with one third resident directors as a structural firewall; little public record of contested cases." }, { "d": 5, "s": 1, "c": "low", "e": "The CLT model is documented and replicated through a network; the trust's own knowledge practices are not publicly specified." } ] }, { "id": "twinoaks", "name": "Twin Oaks Community", "founded": 1967, "status": "active, rebuilding", "statusClass": "st-mixed", "traj": "Income-sharing community of ~85 adults; staged entry since the 1960s; two destructive fires (2024, 2026) took the flagship hammocks business; rebuilding via new textiles work and a sister-community partnership.", "sources": [ "https://www.twinoaks.org/", "https://c-ville.com/louisas-twin-oaks-commune-recovers-from-devastating-227-acre-fire/" ], "cells": [ { "d": 14, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Formal staged entry: three-week visit, time away, provisional period, then membership by explicit act." }, { "d": 17, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "The labor-credit system prices domestic and care work equal to income work: a working care ledger since 1967." }, { "d": 7, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Housing, food, healthcare, and stipend guaranteed to every member regardless of role." }, { "d": 1, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Fifty-nine years and two recent fires with the flagship business lost; functioning and rebuilding, not unscathed." }, { "d": 6, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Rotating planner-manager system with staggered terms; exact term rules are internal documentation." }, { "d": 18, "s": 1, "c": "low", "e": "Acorn Community (1993) founded as a supported spinoff rather than a schism; secondary sourcing." } ] }, { "id": "portoalegre", "name": "Porto Alegre participatory budgeting", "founded": 1989, "status": "revived, diminished", "statusClass": "st-declining", "traj": "The world's oldest PB: twenty-eight years, suspension in 2017 when the political sponsor flipped, revival by 2025 with the second-largest attendance since 1989 and a fraction of the historic money.", "sources": [ "https://prefeitura.poa.br/smgov/noticias/orcamento-participativo-de-2025-mobilizou-18-mil-pessoas", "https://www.wri.org/research/porto-alegre-participatory-budgeting-and-challenge-sustaining-transformative-change", "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0305750X13000156" ], "cells": [ { "d": 4, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Open assemblies, a public allocation formula, and published investment plans for nearly three decades." }, { "d": 6, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Delegates and councillors elected annually on short terms: rotation by design." }, { "d": 13, "s": 0, "c": "high", "e": "No retention mechanism independent of mayoral will: the 2017 sponsor flip suspended the whole institution. The instrument codes the failure." }, { "d": 10, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Twenty years of external outcome monitoring: PB municipalities shifted spending toward sanitation and cut infant mortality." }, { "d": 7, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Documented redistribution toward poorer districts across the strong decades." }, { "d": 1, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Survived many administrations, then did not; revived 2025 at 18,055 participants with thin funding." } ] }, { "id": "vtaiwan", "name": "vTaiwan", "founded": 2015, "status": "volunteer-run", "statusClass": "st-mixed", "traj": "Polis-based deliberation out of the g0v community; flagship consensus cases 2015 to 2018, dormancy after its champion entered government, revived 2023 onward as a volunteer laboratory for AI deliberation.", "sources": [ "https://democracy-technologies.org/participation/consensus-building-in-taiwan/", "https://www.cip.org/alignmentassemblies" ], "cells": [ { "d": 3, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Polis surfaces minority positions that bridge clusters by design: dissent is structurally visible, not tolerated." }, { "d": 4, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Full transparency: livestreams, verbatim outputs, open data throughout." }, { "d": 5, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Open-source stack exported worldwide; the process itself is a commons." }, { "d": 13, "s": 0, "c": "high", "e": "Champion-dependent: stalled when its sponsor entered government; recommendations never bound. The instrument codes the failure." }, { "d": 1, "s": 0, "c": "medium", "e": "Dormant roughly 2018 to 2023; survives as volunteer effort without institutional anchoring." }, { "d": 11, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Alignment assemblies (2023 onward) are an emerging public-review channel for AI systems." } ] }, { "id": "ostbelgien", "name": "Ostbelgien Citizens' Council", "founded": 2019, "status": "active", "statusClass": "st-active", "traj": "First permanent sortition body attached to a legislature: 24 members, 18-month staggered terms, one third rotating every six months; survived a government turnover because a decree entrenches it.", "sources": [ "https://www.buergerdialog.be/en/citizen-council/what-is-the-citizens-council", "https://www.publicdeliberation.net/the-ostbelgien-model-five-years-on/" ], "cells": [ { "d": 6, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Textbook staggered rotation: 18-month terms, one third replaced every six months, selection by lot." }, { "d": 4, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Ministers and parliament must respond publicly to each recommendation in joint session, with standing follow-up monitoring." }, { "d": 14, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Lot-based invitation with opt-in; any citizen may propose topics." }, { "d": 9, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Sortition prevents professionalization of the seats; the surrounding administration is conventional." }, { "d": 10, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Academic evaluation built in from inception, published at the five-year mark." }, { "d": 1, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Seven years and one election turnover survived; too young for longitudinal claims." } ] }, { "id": "wikimedia", "name": "Wikipedia / Wikimedia", "founded": 2001, "status": "active", "statusClass": "st-active", "traj": "A quarter century at enormous scale; elected arbitration in staggered terms; one constitutional crisis absorbed (the 2019 office ban rolled back) and one recorded plainly: the 2024 movement charter passed community ratification and the board declined it, eleven to one.", "sources": [ "https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Movement_Charter/Ratification/Voting/Results", "https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Resolution:Draft_Movement_Charter_and_next_steps" ], "cells": [ { "d": 5, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "The paradigm knowledge commons: open license, full dumps, seven million articles." }, { "d": 3, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Talk pages, requests for comment, and an independent internal press keep dissent visible." }, { "d": 1, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Twenty-five years of governance crises absorbed without organizational rupture." }, { "d": 4, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Public logs, cases, and appeals sit beside the opaque office action that triggered the 2019 crisis." }, { "d": 6, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Arbitration is elected on staggered two-year terms; adminship is indefinite, with recall adopted only recently." }, { "d": 18, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "The license makes forking structurally real (the 2002 Spanish fork); the 2024 charter veto was contained without one." }, { "d": 20, "s": 1, "c": "low", "e": "Central overreach rolled back once (2019); the center declined community-written bounds once (2024)." } ] }, { "id": "debian", "name": "Debian (and Devuan)", "founded": 1993, "status": "active", "statusClass": "st-active", "traj": "Constitution since 1998; twenty-eight consecutive annual leader elections with public tallies; its deepest ideological conflict resolved by ballot; its fork, Devuan, alive eleven years later with both branches persisting.", "sources": [ "https://www.debian.org/vote/", "https://bits.debian.org/2026/04/dpl-elections-2026.html", "https://www.devuan.org/os/announce/excalibur-release-announce-2025-11-02" ], "cells": [ { "d": 6, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Twenty-eight consecutive annual leadership elections (1999 to 2026), Condorcet, public tallies: the strongest rotation record in the set." }, { "d": 3, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "The general-resolution mechanism institutionalizes dissent; every vote archive is public." }, { "d": 4, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Every ballot, tally, and constitutional rule published." }, { "d": 18, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Devuan (2014) took a new name, kept the commons interoperable, and both branches persist: a completed, surviving fork." }, { "d": 1, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "The systemd conflict, the project's deepest, was resolved by formal ballot without collapse." }, { "d": 14, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Staged New Member process with documented checks." }, { "d": 20, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "The constitution tightly bounds leader and technical-committee powers." } ] }, { "id": "icann", "name": "ICANN Empowered Community", "founded": 2016, "status": "active, powers untested", "statusClass": "st-mixed", "traj": "The designed capture firewall of the IANA transition: nine enumerated community powers including board recall; a symbolic first exercise, the .org sale stopped by adjacent pressure rather than the power built for it, and the first-ever rejection petition filed in 2026.", "sources": [ "https://www.icann.org/ec", "https://www.icann.org/news/blog/icann-board-withholds-consent-for-a-change-of-control-of-the-public-interest-registry-pir", "https://aso.icann.org/follow-up-notice-to-the-rir-community-icann-empowered-community-rejection-action-petition/" ], "cells": [ { "d": 20, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Post-2016 mission limitations legally bound the central functions; the operator can be fired by enumerated, court-enforceable powers." }, { "d": 19, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Rejection-petition periods impose mandatory delay windows on bylaw and budget execution." }, { "d": 9, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "The community firewall exists and has never fully fired; the .org save ran through the board and a state attorney general instead." }, { "d": 10, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Mandated periodic reviews exist; the live 2026 fight is precisely over the board pausing them." }, { "d": 4, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Reconsideration and independent-review venues exist and are used; petitioners rarely prevail." }, { "d": 1, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Absorbed the transition and the .org crisis; the first rejection petition appears to have failed for lack of support." } ] }, { "id": "wir", "name": "WIR Bank", "founded": 1934, "status": "function declining", "statusClass": "st-declining", "traj": "The world's longest-running complementary currency: measured countercyclical lending to small firms across decades, a healthy cooperative bank, and a currency function in documented decline inside it.", "sources": [ "https://gb.wir.ch/de/2024/wichtigste-zahlen-2024", "https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41294-016-0001-5" ], "cells": [ { "d": 19, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "The countercyclical credit mechanism is documented shock-buffering for member SMEs across the postwar record." }, { "d": 1, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Ninety-two years of survival, achieved partly by drifting into conventional banking while the core function decays." }, { "d": 10, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Transparent annual reporting makes the currency's own decline legible: CHW loans and deposits both fell in 2024." }, { "d": 15, "s": 1, "c": "low", "e": "The original currency carried demurrage, a literal decay charge, abandoned in 1948; the one in-case calibration experiment." }, { "d": 13, "s": 1, "c": "low", "e": "The institutional pivot preserved the shell, not the function." }, { "d": 8, "s": 0, "c": "medium", "e": "The currency is officially non-convertible: value locked in, exit friction by design. Coded against the framework's own standard." } ] }, { "id": "sardex", "name": "Sardex", "founded": 2010, "status": "active, operator unresolved", "statusClass": "st-mixed", "traj": "The strongest living business-to-business mutual-credit system: a Sardinian circuit born in the 2008 credit crunch, fifteen years old, upward of ten thousand firms across fifteen Italian regions, over a billion euros cleared and about 142 million in annual volume in 2023, on a no-convertibility rule that makes the only exit a purchase. Countercyclical where it counts, and peer-reviewed: membership raises member sales ten to fifteen percent, strongest for the smallest firms. The ambiguity is the value: the currency is healthy while the operating company loses money and its ownership walked from five founders to the state investment bank's venture arm. Companion to WIR, alive rather than declining, and the survivor where the Bristol Pound died, the binding anchor against the convertible costume.", "sources": [ "https://www.sardexpay.net/news/il-primo-miliardo-di-sardex/", "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-018-0450-0", "https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jeborg/v230y2025ics016726812400475x.html", "https://www.cdpventurecapital.it/cdp-venture-capital/en/dettaglio_comunicato.page?contentId=COM288", "https://www.ufficiocamerale.it/7048/sardex-spa" ], "cells": [ { "d": 1, "s": 2, "c": "high", "e": "Born in the 2008 credit crunch and grew through 2012 to 2014 while Sardinian bank lending contracted at twice the national rate; added 73 percent more members in the pandemic year while clearing over 120 million euros. The currency function is alive and load-bearing, not a declining shell." }, { "d": 8, "s": 0, "c": "high", "e": "Credits are non-convertible and spendable only in-circuit, so the only exit is a purchase. The no-convertibility rule is the resilience anchor and, by the framework's own exit standard, a failure: value is locked in. The exact inverse of the Bristol Pound." }, { "d": 13, "s": 0, "c": "medium", "e": "The operating company lost roughly three million euros in 2023 and two million in 2024 on revenue near three and a half million: the circuit clears but the operator does not self-fund, surviving on patient state-adjacent capital. The self-funding threshold is not yet passed." }, { "d": 6, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "The five founders left operational control and the circuit survived the handover; governance survived its founders, though the new owners, a state investment bank's venture arm alongside an ethical bank, are the open question the case turns on." }, { "d": 10, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Volumes and membership are self-reported, but the network is read from the outside: peer-reviewed studies in Nature Human Behaviour and JEBO measured its cyclic flow and its member-sales effect, and the operator's losses are legible in third-party registry filings. Intra-circuit credit-loss data is absent." } ], "falsifiers": [ "Insolvency or liquidation of the operator without circuit continuity.", "Annual volume falling materially below a hundred million euros.", "The introduction of euro convertibility, which would dissolve the anchor and reclassify the case.", "Continued multi-million-euro operator losses past 2026 without recapitalization, which would demote the case from survivor to subsidized experiment." ] }, { "id": "bristolpound", "name": "Bristol Pound", "founded": 2012, "status": "dissolved", "statusClass": "st-dead", "traj": "The UK's largest sterling alternative at its peak: council tax and business rates payable in it, the mayor's whole salary taken in it, a million issued by 2015 and five million spent by 2017, then decline, the digital close in August 2020, paper withdrawal in September 2021, and a successor payment platform that folded in 2023. The set's calibration anchor, fully dead with the record public, and the contrast case to WIR: strong exit, short life, against locked exit, long survival.", "sources": [ "https://www.itv.com/news/westcountry/2021-09-30/end-of-an-era-as-bristol-pound-leaves-circulation-after-a-decade", "http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/125484/1/Marshall%20and%20O%27Neill%202018%20%5BThe%20Bristol%20Pound%20-%20A%20tool%20for%20localisation%5D%20AAM%20Version.pdf", "https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/nov/20/mayor-salary-bristol-pounds", "https://www.bristolpoundlegacy.info/" ], "cells": [ { "d": 1, "s": 0, "c": "high", "e": "Nine years from launch to withdrawal: the digital scheme closed in August 2020, paper notes left circulation on 30 September 2021, and the successor platform folded in 2023 for insufficient funding. The dissolution is the datum." }, { "d": 13, "s": 0, "c": "high", "e": "Grant- and council-dependent with usage declining from 2017 and council support substantially cut from 2018; extraordinary institutional anchoring, taxes payable, the mayor's salary, energy bills, did not substitute for a self-funding engine." }, { "d": 8, "s": 2, "c": "medium", "e": "Sterling-backed one to one in trust at the credit union, fee-free conversion out through electronic accounts, and a reimbursement window at the end: holders could always leave, which is why it died cleanly instead of trapping value." }, { "d": 10, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Independent research read the currency against its own localisation objective by 2017 and found it wanting; the organization contested the reading, then attempted a late pivot that failed for funding." }, { "d": 5, "s": 1, "c": "medium", "e": "Founded the Guild of Independent Currencies to share the model and helped Exeter launch its own; the guild no longer exists, and a legacy site keeps the record and resources public." } ] } ], "legibility": "This instrument reads institutions from public records and codes no persons; its person-level legibility budget is zero by construction (EQ-03b).", "errata": [ { "version": "0.2", "date": "2026-07", "note": "Added two dissolved calibration cases, Fagor Electrodomésticos (1956-2013) and the Bristol Pound (2012-2021). No existing codes changed. Fagor is deliberately double-listed with Mondragon; the note in its trajectory says why." }, { "version": "0.3", "date": "2026-07", "note": "Added Sardex, the strongest living business-to-business mutual-credit case, coded high on a living record. No existing codes changed. Sardex is the first case to carry its own registered falsifiers, the conditions that would flip or reclassify its codes: the discipline the whole instrument is built toward, shown on one case." } ] }