The instrument  ·  Vital signs

How a civilization checks its pulse.

Aeviterna does not steer toward a single target. It watches a few load-bearing variables and keeps each inside a survivable band. Every dial has its own scale and units, so each is read on its own terms.

in banddriftingbreached

On each dial, the colored arc shows that measure's own bands, the ticks show its units, and the needle is the current reading. Read a sign by which colored range its needle points into.

Ecological throughput01497/9BREACHEDboundaries transgressed

7 of 9 planetary boundaries transgressed, with ocean acidification the latest to cross.

Material security03%12%30%10.5%DRIFTINGin extreme poverty

About 1 in 10 live in extreme poverty on the rebased $3.00 line (2021 PPP); the top 10% take roughly 52% of global income.

Social trust025%50%100%30%DRIFTINGtrust most people

About 30% say most people can be trusted, averaged across 30 countries.

Epistemic diversity0557010054.7BREACHEDpress-freedom score

The 2026 edition is a 25-year low; over half of countries rate difficult or very serious and under 1% of people live where it is good. The dial holds the last published global average (2025); RSF headlined the 2026 record low without a single new average.

Attention sovereignty01h2.5h4h2h21DRIFTINGper day on social

About 2h 21m a day of pure social-media use per user, roughly 2h 40m including video platforms.

Legitimacy040%60%100%26%BREACHEDlive in democracies

Just 26% live in a democracy; 74% live under autocracy, only 7% in liberal democracies.

Disagreement capacity040%60%100%23%BREACHEDexpression is open

Only ~23% live where free expression is open or less restricted; 53% live in crisis.

Biological resilience0406010039BREACHEDpreparedness index

Preparedness near the global average at the last GHS Index (2021), which has since gone dormant; AMR killed ~1.27M in 2019, projected ~1.91M a year by 2050. Future refreshes read WHO IHR SPAR, the live annual instrument.

How this is measured

No validated composite of civilizational health exists, so these eight are heterogeneous proxies on different scales and update cycles and cannot be summed into one score. The framework reads each as a band to hold rather than a number to maximize, and the reading that matters is the weakest sign, because a civilization is only as survivable as its most breached vital sign. The thresholds shown are reasoned starting points, firmest for the established measures and more provisional for the younger ones, attention sovereignty, disagreement capacity, and biological resilience. Each reading is dated and linked to its source below, and the whole panel is generated from a single data file, so any sign can be refreshed on its own cadence. Snapshot: July 2026.

The panel travels: download it as a one-page PDF, a poster SVG, or an embed SVG.

The workshop stakes dated forecasts on these instruments and scores them by the Brier rule as each edition arrives. See the forecast register.

Where each reading comes from and on what basis · snapshot July 2026 · global figures that hide wide regional variation
SignReadingBasisSourceAs of
Ecological throughput7 of 9science-derivedPlanetary Health Check 2025 (PIK / Stockholm Resilience Centre)2025
Material security10.5% ($3.00/day)science-derivedWorld Bank, June 2025 poverty-line update ($3.00, 2021 PPP); World Inequality Report 20222025
Social trust~30%conventionIpsos Global Advisor, Interpersonal Trust Across the World (2022)2022
Epistemic diversity54.7 / 100science-derivedRSF World Press Freedom Index 2026 (score: 2025 global average)2025 (2026 ed.)
Attention sovereignty~2h 21mconventionDataReportal, Digital 2026 (GWI / Meltwater)2026 ed.
Legitimacy26%conventionV-Dem Institute, Democracy Report 20262026
Disagreement capacity23% openconventionARTICLE 19, Global Expression Report 20242023 data
Biological resilience38.9 / 100benchmarkGlobal Health Security Index 2021 (last edition; WHO IHR SPAR is the live successor)2021 (last ed.)
Aeviterna's own status
Honest readout
ComponentStatusDetailWhere to see it
FrameworkLivingMost sections Stable, several still Draft or OpenThe Manifesto
EvidencePartialNine real-world analogues, each with its limits
Self-critiquePublishedEleven hardest questions, seven still openHardest Questions
On-rampLiveAnyone can adopt it todayPraxis, Starter Kit
MembershipOpenOne channel for nowJoin
Running pilotsSelf-pilotThe workshop adopts the Lite tier on its own operation as the first case; no external deployments yetThe self-pilot
Measured outcomesNone yetNothing measured in the fieldNot yet